Tuesday, November 8, 2011

South Stander Edition #5

Broncos Thoughts of the Week:


There are many yearly traditions that Coloradans look forward to every year. We look forward to powder days on the slopes. We look forward to the Great American Beer Festival in Denver. We look forward to shows at Red Rocks and bluegrass in Telluride.

And we look forward to The Denver Broncos beating the hated Oakland Raiders.

But until this weekend, Coloradans hadn't seen a victory over the Raiders since 2009. The Raiders had beaten the Broncos four straight times. Two of those four losses came in Denver, in 2009 it was on a last second field goal to give the Raiders a 20-19 win, and an embarrassing 59-14 route of Denver's defense in 2010.

But all that changed this week as Denver, led by Tim Tebow, Willis McGahee, and Champ Bailey, came from behind to give the Broncos an impressive 38-24 win over the Raiders in the black hole that is Oakland. It was a team-effort, with offense, defense, special teams and coaching all contributing to the victory.

Denver implemented a read option offense - similar to the kind Tebow led in college - and ran over the Raiders tough defense for 299 yards on the ground. Despite a broken hand, McGahee ran for 163 yards and two long touchdowns. The last TD run put the game out of reach for the Raiders in the final minutes. Tebow also ran for 119 yards, one of which was a great third down conversion to keep the possession for the Broncos in the final minutes. He even remembered to slide down in bounds to keep the clock running.

The Broncos saw improvements on every side of the ball this week. The offensive line dominated the Raiders. The defense had three interceptions and stopped the Raiders at crucial times. Special teams and Eddie Royal had a punt returned for a TD. And Tim Tebow managed to stay on his feet, throw for two touchdowns and was only sacked twice.

The Raiders sure did come after Tebow though. He took many hits on his runs, after his passes and even out of bounds. He took a hit to the chin that cut up his lip and showed his resiliency the entire game.

Tebow still has a long way to go to become a great NFL QB. He only completed 10 of 21 passes and showed he is still inaccurate throwing the ball. His passes did look better against the Raiders though. He got the ball off quicker, wasn't scrambling around in the pocket as much and made good reads on the throws he did complete.

"There's no question we're looking for balance in the run and the pass," coach John Fox said Monday. "We're probably leaning a little bit more on the run right now, and we have to improve in the pass game because in this league you've got to be two-dimensional, not one-dimensional, and it's something I'm sure he'll grow, we'll grow, in time."

It's still to be seen if a read-option offense can be sustainable in the NFL. But this year it has been working well for Cam Newton and Carolina (though it's not used exclusively) and the Falcons had success with it and Michael Vick a few years ago. If Denver can give Tebow a system he is comfortable with where he can grow as an NFL QB his accuracy will start to improve and he will start to become a better pocket passer. 


What's Next?


Next week the Broncos travel to Kansas City to take on a Chief's team that no one knows what to expect. The Chiefs lost their first three games by huge point differentials. Then they won their next four games. And last week they were held to only 3 points by a win-less Miami Dolphins team in their own stadium to give Miami their first victory. The Chiefs offense has shown it struggles to score points and the defense struggles to stop other teams. But they have also shown great things this season.

The questions for the Broncos will be if they can keep being successful with their read-option offense. If the running game keeps looking good and Tebow finally completes 50%+ of his passes the Broncos will come out of KC with a win that Coloradans look forward to nearly as much as a win against Oakland.

New York Life Protection Index Update:


Despite having one of their better games protecting Tim Tebow, the Denver Broncos still only scored an 11.5 on the NYLPI against the Raiders and were ranked last in the NFL this week. Tebow was only sacked twice in the game, compared to 14 times in his previous two starts.

I know Tebow was hit after the play quite a bit. Maybe the hits he took each time he ran the ball counted against the Broncos in this statistic. But I felt that Tebow was protected better than in the previous games, even though he took more dirty hits against the Raiders.

I still can't find the formula used to calculate the NYLPI and think I may need a new statistic that shows how well the offensive line protects the QB.

Miscellaneous Broncos Items:


The New York Times published a piece summarizing why the Tim Tebow QB controversy has become so heated. It claims religion is at the center of the debate.

These Broncos fans went to the game in Oakland, decked out in Orange, and managed to survive the experience. Great read starting with being heckled by Raiders fans from the highway to the game, seeing Raiders fan sneak into the Coliseum, and spending the entire game with rude comments being thrown their way. The video they took from a cell phone of the black mile walk is worth watching just for the sound of the experience.

Other NFL Thoughts:


This video shows how creative Buffalo Bills fans are with their tailgating. Having spent so many years in the basement of the AFC East, it's great to see that Bills fans are still so passionate and show up in such huge numbers. With a surprise season and a record of 5-3 this year, I'm rooting for the Bills to take the AFC East by storm! Though this weekend they lost big to the NY Jets.

I haven't seen anything like this in Denver where much of the pre-game experience has been taken over by the big tent behind the south stands.



Beer of the Week:


Odell's winter seasonal, the Mountain Standard Double Black IPA, really hits the spot. In winter I love drinking dark beers with chocolate malts but I always miss the IPA's of summer. This beer takes the best of both worlds making a black IPA with chocolate malts and lots of hops from Colorado to give you a great combination of chocolaty malts and piney hops in the same sip. You can pick it up from most liquor stores in a four pack!

Drew Litton Comic of the Week:


Because we here in Colorado love it so much when our Broncos run over the Raiders, here is this weeks comic in tribute to the Bronco's victory.



Rapids Thoughts of the Week:


The Colorado Rapids had a disappointing end to their season this week. Plagued by injury to nearly a quarter of their starting line up the Rapids lost the away portion of their playoff series against Sporting Kansas City 2-0. Days after the loss, the Rapids parted ways with their head-coach Gary Smith, as the two sides could not agree on a contract renewal. Smith led the Rapids to their only MLS Cup in 2010 and brought a great deal of successful starters to the team in his tenure in Colorado.

“After meeting with Gary, we decided it would be in the best interest of both parties to move in a different direction,” said Colorado Rapids Managing Director Jeff Plush. “We’d like to thank Gary for his many contributions to the Colorado Rapids organization. He was instrumental in the Rapids winning our first-ever MLS Cup last year, and we wish him nothing but the best as he explores new opportunities.”

Smith has told ESPN that problems with the Front Office led to his departure from the Rapids.

"Paul, Jeff, Tim, they were involved in the player decisions, and they were the source of a lot of conflict," Smith said to ESPN. "Ninety percent of the decisions were made after heavy arguments. These guys feel they are in a position of power to do that. When I took the job, I was told I would have the final say. But over time that required more confrontation, more energy, and I was sick and tired of the backbiting." 
This revelation of the conflict with the front office is disappointing to many Rapid's supporters, as Smith was instrumental in developing many fan-favorites in the starting eleven.
"We have a great team here and it's a huge loss of a coach that coached us for three years and he took us to the finals. It happens, he's got his own life and it just didn't work out with the organization...it'll be hard to get under a new coach and get going again but I just wish the best of luck to Gary and I wish him luck where ever he goes. And we just appreciate what he's done for us the last three years." said Kosuke Kimura, one of the Rapid's star players who Smith helped to develop into a critical part of Colorado's team.
Colorado had hoped to talk to John Spencer, a former Rapid's star and current head coach of the Portland Timbers, about the possibility of becoming the new head coach for the Rapids.

“Colorado, it’s a place that he holds very dear to his heart,” Wilkinson, Portland's GM, said. “His quote to me was, ‘Colorado is home, but Portland is the home of soccer.’ “You can see what value he brings to the [Timbers]. He’s done a great job. We love him here in Portland, and we want John to be successful here in Portland.”

Gary Smith will certainly be missed by the Rapid's supporters as well. The Burgundy Wave, a Rapid's Blog run by supporters put it best:
Smith will forever be remembered for pulling together a group of low-paid pseudo-stars in 2010 and delivering us our first ever trophy. His downfalls aside, Gary was the best manager in the short history of the Colorado Rapids and we'll never forget him no matter how many successes may or may not be in our club's future. 
So, here's to you Gary Smith. You'll always be welcomed by us Rapid's Supporters here in Colorado! Good luck!

MLS Cup Thoughts of the Week:

The LA Galaxy and the Huston Dynamo will both be looking for their third MLS Cup Championship in club history on Sunday November 20th at the Home Depot Center.

LA beat Real Salt Lake in the Western Conference Finals 3-1 with a goal from designated player Robbie Keane and some great play by David Beckam.

Huston beat Sporting KC 2-0 at Livestrong Park in the Eastern Conference to move on to the finals. But they lost potential league MVP, Brad Davis, to injury in the game. But the Dynamo still come into the finals feel confident, with their playoff experience.

"It hurts losing [Brad Davis],"says goalkeeper Tally Hall. "But at the same time, I feel like we have a deep team. We have a team of dangerous players, and I think we've proven that even without Brad.”

Avalanche Thoughts of the Week:


The Avalanche have plummeted back to Earth in the last week. The Avs have not won a game in ten days and have lost four straight, including 2 at home and 2 on the road. The Avs record is now 7-7-1 with 15 points. They are ranked 11th in the Western Conference.


Their losses this week included a 4-1 loss at home against Phoenix, an overtime loss in Dallas 7-6, a 2-1 loss to Calgary, and a 5-2 loss to the Detroit Red Wings. The Colorado offense has been struggling, except in the loss to Dallas, and the defense needs to start improving the penalty kill if Colorado wants to start winning.


"It's (PK) struggling right now," winger Daniel Winnik said. "It's hard to win games when you're giving up one or two power-play goals a game."



To find their winning ways again, the Avalanche are going to need their young stars to step up and become better leaders. Players like Matt Duchene and Gabriel Landeskog will have to start inspiring their teammates. Coach Joe Sacco should also give Duchene more chances to prove himself on the first line, as he was pulled from it against the Red Wings.

With 8 of the next 10 games played at home, the longest home stretch of the season this far, the Avalanche will have the opportunity to start turning their season around at the Pepsi Center in Denver.

Rockies Thoughts of the Week:

There is talk that the Rockies may keep Ian Stewart in the big leagues as a utility/starting infielder. After his terribly disappointing season last year, I see no way this helps the Rockies at all. Sure, it may be another year until all-star prospect 3B Nolan Arenado is ready for the major leagues. In the mean time Jordan Pacheco showed he can play with the big boys and deserves a chance over Ian Stewart in the Rockies' starting line-up.

Nolan Arenado is continuing his assault on the Arizona Fall League leading nearly every batting category. His defense at 3B has also been impressive, which is beginning to question whether the Rockies would try to develop Arenado in a 1st baseman to replace an aging Todd Helton.

"He has played tremendous defense down here, one of the best defensive third basemen I've seen in a long time," said Rafters manager Stu Cole, also the Rockies' Triple-A manager.

Baseball in America published a good read on Arenado's play in the fall league.

Finally, the Rox need to start looking at free agency and the trade market. For next season they are in desperate need of at least one or two quality starting pitchers, and a 3rd baseman. Another outfielder with a big bat to compliment Seth Smith would help the Rockies compete too. 

The Purple Row Blog has published a good piece on what moves the Rockies should make in this off-season to address these gaps.


Cheerleader of the Week:


With the NBA lockout in full swing you have to feel bad for all the seasonal workers who are out of a job right now, like the beer and food vendors, the maintenance people and the Denver Nugget's Dancers. So that's why I'll feature them as this week's cheerleaders:



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